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At the entrance of the Marabis Castro del Río Industrial Park in Guanajuato, the sun reflects off a metal sign with red letters reading, “We Offer Buildings for Lease (BTS) and for Sale (BTO).” But behind these seemingly simple acronyms lie two business models that define the terms of industrial space occupancy and how a company manages risk, liquidity, and long-term operational control.
BTS (Build-to-Suit) projects are custom-built according to tenant specifications explicitly designed for leasing. The property remains in the hands of the developer, although in some cases, agreements may include purchase options or be sold later under separate agreements. In contrast, BTO (Build-to-Own) developments are also designed to meet the company’s requirements, but with the fundamental difference that the company owns the asset from the outset, assuming the investment and real estate risk in exchange for full control.
At a national level, BTS properties are prevalent. According to SiiLA Market Analytics, nearly three-quarters of new industrial inventory enters the market with pre-lease agreements, many of them BTS. In contrast, BTO properties are far less common.
This is no coincidence. The market structure responds to economic and strategic factors that have cemented leasing as the dominant model.
Between 2020 and 2024, more than 2,000 companies—both new and existing—absorbed nearly 33 million square meters of industrial space across Mexico’s northern, central, and Bajío regions, according to SiiLA. These transactions do not necessarily indicate market growth but rather reflect high activity levels in a market where the vast majority of deals are lease agreements.
Key factors behind this trend include global manufacturing expansion, with companies relocating production to Mexico to reduce logistical risks and ensure operational continuity without the burden of owning real estate.
Additionally, e-commerce has fueled unprecedented demand for distribution centers in strategic locations with immediate availability. This is further supported by infrastructure, competitive costs, and a skilled workforce, which concentrate investment in highly connected areas where land for industrial development is limited. As a result, leasing has become the most viable option for most companies.
However, the turning point is not only operational but also financial. Purchasing industrial buildings ties up capital, an option many companies prefer to avoid—especially in a market where leasing in U.S. dollars provides flexibility, scalability, and immediate access to ready-to-use spaces without long-term commitments.
Choosing between BTS and BTO is a strategic decision that defines a company’s financial and operational performance.
BTS developments offer immediate access to properties without significant upfront investment or capital being tied up in fixed assets. This option dominates in high-demand markets, where supply is limited. However, it comes with trade-offs: dependence on a landlord, exposure to rent adjustments, and, in some cases, long-term lease contracts that can limit mobility and expansion.
BTO properties, on the other hand, reduce exposure to rent volatility but require a substantial upfront investment, reducing liquidity and introducing maintenance and management costs. Unlike BTS, where occupancy is almost immediate, BTO developments require permits, construction, and extensive planning before operations begin. Generally, BTOs are located outside the most competitive industrial markets, where lower operating costs and, in some cases, tax incentives help offset the investment.
Although the choice between BTS and BTO in Mexico follows a logic of agility and financial optimization, the equation is not static. Factors such as financing costs, the consolidation of strategic industries, and the reconfiguration of nearshoring will shape the balance between these models. In the meantime, some companies seek a middle ground, combining lease-to-own structures or sale & leaseback agreements, where they sell their assets to free up capital while continuing to operate in the same space under a lease contract.
So far, trends indicate that Mexico’s industrial real estate market is shifting more towards competition between pre-leased and speculative developments rather than between leased and owned properties.
In just the past year, Mexico has seen significant shifts in industrial supply. In 2024, speculative construction reached unprecedented levels: over 2.1 million square meters—27.5% of new inventory—entered the market without a secured tenant. This volume was almost equal to all speculative inventory delivered between 2021 and 2023, in a surge driven by increased financing for speculative projects following the peak of nearshoring into Mexico in 2021.
Looking ahead, the question is no longer whether the market will continue to be dominated by leasing but rather how far this model can go before reaching its breaking point.
For more insights on the trends shaping and reshaping the commercial real estate market, visit SiiLA REsource or contact us at contacto@siila.com.mx.











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