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SMI - GERAL Q4 2025
+3.25 % 370.88
=
INCOME RETURN
+2.22 % +
APPRECIATION RETURN
+1.03 %
USD / MXN
0.00 % 17.21
GDP (Quarterly, Millions)
-1.24 % 29,325,765.23 PTS
CPI
0.00 % 4.45 PTS
Reference Rate
0.00 % 6.50 PTS
Closing IPC
-1.40 % 69,206.85 PTS
UDIs
0.00 % 8.84 PTS

Manufacturing Slows Down, but Its Occupancy Keeps Growing. Is Mexico Retreating or Reinventing Itself?

  • While Mexican manufacturing production slows, its footprint in the industrial real estate market continues to grow. New players —smaller, more technical, and focused on the medium term—are taking up space not only to produce more today, but also to prepare for a more uncertain global landscape.

Martina L. Cheung leads S&P Global, which measures manufacturing activity in Mexico. Photo: SiiLA.
Martina L. Cheung leads S&P Global, which measures manufacturing activity in Mexico. Photo: SiiLA.
By: SiiLA News
07/16/2025

In the first half of 2025, Mexico’s manufacturing sector deepened the slowdown that began in 2024, after three years of post-pandemic recovery, according to the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) from S&P Global. However, SiiLA reports that the sector maintained positive net absorption in the industrial real estate market and continues to attract new players. The contrast doesn’t suggest a decline, but rather a reconfiguration: companies are adjusting their processes while holding their ground. And holding ground, in times of uncertainty, is a quiet way of trusting the future.

Where does the industry stand today? The PMI —which weighs production, orders, employment, inventories, and delivery times— averaged 46.8 points over the semester, nearly 9% lower than the same period in 2024. In this index, 50 marks the neutral point: above that, there’s expansion; below, contraction. With twelve consecutive months under that threshold and the weakest semester since 2021, the message is clear: the slowdown is moderate, but persistent.

What’s behind the cooling? According to S&P Global, companies are experiencing a decline in new orders, hindered by weak demand, postponed projects, and U.S. tariffs, particularly on exports. In response, they’ve cut back on purchases and staffing to control costs and inventories. This dynamic reflects caution: while business confidence is starting to rebound, it remains among the lowest of the past decade. If conditions improve, manufacturing activity could see slight gains by year-end and even cross the 50-point threshold by 2026.

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Founded in 2015, SiiLA is the industry leading REsource for comprehensive commercial real estate market insights, news and events across Latin America. The SiiLA suite of innovative products drive greater accuracy, efficiency, and strategic advantages for top players in the commercial real estate industry.

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Transactions


José Carlos Elizondo leads Voit, which recently added office space at Centro Corporativo del Parque in Insurgentes. Photo: SiiLA.
Voit Changes the Playing Field: Competition Moves Beyond the Point of Sale
Wu Kouyue leads Xusheng Leoch Battery, one of the companies that absorbed the most industrial space in Q1 2026. Photo: SiiLA.
Absorption Falls, Not Demand in Mexico’s Industrial Market

Nearshoring

Hichem Elloumi leads COFICAB, an automotive wiring company, and one of the auto parts firms that absorbed the most industrial space in Q12026. Photo: SiiLA.
Between Importing and Exporting: Mexico Does Not Substitute Auto Parts, It Needs Them to Export
James Li leads Honor, which absorbed space in Hofusan in 2026. Photo: SiiLA.
Hofusan and the Limits of Asia’s Industrial Model in Mexico

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