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SMI - GERAL Q4 2025
+3.25 % 370.88
=
INCOME RETURN
+2.22 % +
APPRECIATION RETURN
+1.03 %
USD / MXN
0.00 % 17.32
GDP (Quarterly, Millions)
-1.24 % 29,325,765.23 PTS
CPI
0.00 % 4.45 PTS
Reference Rate
0.00 % 6.50 PTS
Closing IPC
0.00 % 68,333.47 PTS
UDIs
0.00 % 8.84 PTS

Vacancies in Mexican Retail: 8 Quarters Down. Which Shopping Centers Are Most in Demand?

  • The vacancy rate in Mexican shopping centers has decreased by more than 35% since 2022, a significant improvement that reflects a more stable retail real estate market with less than 8% vacancy and more efficient and flexible management.

  • According to SiiLA's analysis, lifestyle centers and regional malls are leading the way in the Mexican shopping center market, boasting higher occupancy levels than other shopping centers. This underscores the crucial role of adaptability and proactive management in the sector, ensuring its continued success.

Simon Hanna is the CEO of FIBRA Macquarie, which owns City Shops del Valle. Photo: SiiLA.
Simon Hanna is the CEO of FIBRA Macquarie, which owns City Shops del Valle. Photo: SiiLA.
By: SiiLA News
08/07/2024

Space vacancy in Mexican shopping centers has decreased for eight consecutive quarters, with a significant reduction of over 35% since 2022. This substantial decrease reflects a stabilization process in the retail real estate market, driven by a more balanced net absorption, a slowdown in adding new inventory, and more efficient and flexible property management. Currently, less than 8% of the gross leasable area (GLA) in shopping centers is vacant. Although this level is moderate and relatively healthy, it has challenges, such as balancing tenant turnover with space vacancy to create new business opportunities without negatively impacting landlords' profitability.

According to a SiiLA analysis, lifestyle centers and regional malls typically have higher occupancy levels than power and community centers, as well as outlets. However, a study of 164 properties in the main retail markets (including Mexico City, Guadalajara, Monterrey, and Querétaro) shows that in the past year, nine properties had zero vacancies, five properties began reporting vacancies, and six were fully occupied. Meanwhile, the remaining 144 properties registered some vacancies, trending up or down.

Of the properties that maintained zero vacancies, all but one are community centers. Four are in Mexico City (Chedraui Calzada del Hueso, City Shops del Valle, Miyana Ampliación, and Park Plaza Shops), three in Monterrey (Citadina Concordia, HEB Cerradas de Anáhuac, and HEB Guadalupe Juárez), and two in Guadalajara (Plaza Altea Río Nilo, Soriana Híper Estadio).

Among those that started reporting vacancies, increasing from zero to 1% or 2%, three are regional malls and two are lifestyle centers, located in Mexico City (Encuentro Fortuna, Parque Delta, and Plaza Carso) and Guadalajara (Andares and Gran Terraza Oblatos).

Of the properties that were fully occupied and had vacancy rates not exceeding 3%, most are community centers located in Mexico City (Miyana, Plaza Insurgentes, and Portal San Ángel), Guadalajara (Gran Patio Patria and Patio La Cima), and Querétaro (Plaza del Parque).

The trend toward full occupancy reflects improved efficiency in leasing and marketing strategies, with landlords adopting more proactive and personalized approaches to attract and retain tenants. This indicates increasing sophistication in retail real estate asset management, where the ability to adapt spaces and leases to changing market needs is crucial for maintaining low vacancy levels.

Meanwhile, full occupancy in some properties suggests sustained demand for the convenience and accessibility they offer in highly competitive areas, while the reappearance of vacancies in certain regional malls and lifestyle centers, though marginal and not exceeding 2%, may indicate a slight tenant mix adjustment. This is in response to a commercial offer aligned with current consumption trends.

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Mexico
National
Retail
Market Analytics
Market Trends

ABOUT SiiLA

Founded in 2015, SiiLA is the industry leading REsource for comprehensive commercial real estate market insights, news and events across Latin America. The SiiLA suite of innovative products drive greater accuracy, efficiency, and strategic advantages for top players in the commercial real estate industry.

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