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Why 67 Industrial Properties in Mexico Remain Vacant After More Than Three Years on the Market
- Mexico has at least 67 industrial properties with “structural vacancy.” These properties, which have remained unoccupied for three years or more, highlight the importance of adapting the real estate supply to avoid obsolescence and commercial challenges, thereby improving profitability in the industrial sector.
- These properties, which cover nearly 350,000 square meters of gross leasable area in Mexico’s Bajío and northern regions, are concentrated in Guanajuato, Querétaro, and Monterrey, where factors like location and size have contributed to their prolonged vacancy.
Por: SiiLA News
28/08/2024 En los principales mercados inmobiliarios de México, SiiLA ha identificado 67 naves industriales con espacios que presentan “disponibilidad estructural”, lo que significa que han estado desocupados durante tres años o más. De estas naves, 52 han estado parcialmente ocupadas y 15 permanecen completamente vacías.
Los casos de disponibilidad estructural brindan una valiosa perspectiva sobre la dinámica de la demanda en el sector industrial. Analizar por qué estos espacios han permanecido vacíos durante tanto tiempo ayuda a comprender mejor los factores que limitan su ocupación, como la obsolescencia y las características de las naves, su ubicación, las preferencias regionales, problemas comerciales y legales, o precios no competitivos. Esta información es indispensable para anticipar tendencias y tomar decisiones informadas en el mercado inmobiliario.
Además, al excluir los espacios industriales con disponibilidad estructural, los principales indicadores del mercado se ajustan de manera significativa. Por ejemplo, la tasa de disponibilidad promedio en los últimos tres años disminuye un 9%, ubicándose por debajo del 2.5%; los precios de renta muestran un ligero aumento del 2%, alcanzando 6.3 dólares por metro cuadrado; y el tiempo de exposición, que es el periodo en que una nave desocupada permanece vacía antes de ser rentada, se reduce en un 21%, pasando de 1.3 a un año en promedio.
Estos ajustes revelan cómo la disponibilidad estructural puede distorsionar la percepción del mercado industrial. Al comprender y excluir estos casos, se obtiene una imagen más precisa del dinamismo del sector.
Properties with Structural Vacancy
On average, the spaces with structural vacancy identified by SiiLA have remained vacant for four years, which has led to their rental prices being lower than the national average, resulting in reduced profit margins. These spaces cover nearly 350,000 square meters of gross leasable area (GLA) in Mexico’s Bajío and northern regions, distributed across 67 properties within 44 industrial complexes, including industrial parks, industrial regions, and pocket parks.
The geographic distribution shows a significant concentration of GLA in the Bajío region, where Guanajuato and Querétaro lead with 40% and 19% of the total, respectively. In the north, Monterrey stands out, concentrating 23% of the GLA. However, it is noteworthy that there are no Class A and B properties with a structural vacancy in central Mexico, where demand is high, and space for new developments is limited. This is due to marketing dynamics characterized by rapid absorption, the profile of last-mile-focused projects, and the efficient utilization of outdated properties through conversion processes and brownfield projects, which prevent prolonged vacancies.
In contrast, in the north and Bajío regions, where many emerging markets are growing, prolonged exposure times are due to a lack of response to current market demands.
On the one hand, the average size of spaces with structural vacancy, which is 4,600 square meters of GLA, is small compared to current demand, focusing on properties ranging from 10,000 to 20,000 square meters, primarily of high quality. On the other hand, although 58% of the GLA with structural vacancy in these regions corresponds to Class A properties and the rest to Class B, the lack of updates in advanced technology, services, and strategic infrastructure causes some of these properties to lag behind, illustrating how the misalignment between property characteristics and current market demands can lead to prolonged vacancies.
In a highly competitive and constantly evolving industrial environment, the real advantage lies in understanding the market’s nuances: it’s not just about following trends but anticipating and shaping them. The ability to reimagine spaces and adjust supply based on demands that have yet to materialize sets developers and investors who survive and thrive apart.
To learn more about the performance and development of Mexico’s industrial market, explore SiiLA REsource or contact us at contacto@siila.com.mx.
ACERCA DE SiiLA
Fundada en 2015, SiiLA se posiciona como la máxima referencia de la industria para obtener información completa sobre el mercado inmobiliario comercial, ofreciendo insights, noticias y eventos en América Latina. Los innovadores productos de SiiLA potencian la precisión, eficiencia y ventajas estratégicas a los principales actores de la industria inmobiliaria comercial.
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